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RIA Novosti commentary:
A VOICE FROM MATROSSKAYA TISHINA PRISON

MOSCOW, March 29 (RIA Novosti's Raisa Zubova). At first glance, Khodorkovsky's article, The Crisis of Liberalism in Russia, does not explain why he wrote it. It is not a breakthrough into the future or a new word in the analysis of the political situation in Russia. He simply enumerates our problems and fiercely denounces the wrong policy of the previous liberal-market governments. But he is too late and secondary in his attempt though he has a good turn of the phrase sometimes.

The Russian liberals' defeat was long ago analysed many times, including immediately after the December 7 parliamentary elections and the March 14 presidential vote. It was analysed by the best political minds of Russia
and by the losers themselves. Khodorkovsky's contribution has not added anything new to this analysis. Coming from him, some especially rancorous criticism of the Russian right sounds unfair and not very ethical. Of the whole of Russian society, only the right dared to raise their voice (even though it was not very loud) in defence of the arrested Yukos head.

And then, I wonder why has the oligarch "seen the truth" now? He took an active part and benefited from the unfair privatisation, "reforms for the top 10,000" and many other things that happened during the "wild" 1990s. One is hard put to believe that oligarch Khodorkovsky, whom Forbes has recently cited as Russia's richest man, did not know what was going on in the country in the 1990s. The bitter truth is that Russian society and the West have forgotten about businessman Mikhail Khodorkovsky who is getting bored in prison. The right saw Russia's immediate future differently in
October 2003. It seemed that Khodorkovsky's arrest would explode the stock markets, put a check on foreign investments, and create tensions in Russia-West relations. Some especially daring people predicted that Khodorkovsky would become the common candidate of the right at the presidential elections.

But none of this came true. Russia's economy grew stronger, its market is becoming ever more attractive to foreign investors, Putin has reinforced his position, and the West, who has more important problems than the feelings of Russian oligarchs, does not remind the Kremlin about Khodorkovsky's suffering in prison too often.

Russian society has many other problems and interests, too, with parliamentary, presidential and other elections, one government fired and a new one installed, and a new reform programme. After the elections, some parties are enjoying the fruit of victory while others are busy analysing their defeat. As for the Yukos case and imprisoned oligarchs, they are old news.

Khodorkovsky's letter reminds me of a penitent letter, where one can read between the lines, "I have seen my guilt and promise to reform." The conclusions made in his article are clever and the country's leaders should see their worth. I mean his idea that we should stop looking up at the West (in particular Europe) and start relying on our own traditions and national interests, stop the brain drain, legalise the results of privatisation (even if this may entail some losses for the capital), and stop the attempts to discredit Putin.

I do not discern any political claims of the oligarch, though the situation - a letter from the prison published in a pro-Western newspaper - conditions the reader for protest and "the struggle against tyrants." There is not a hint in the letter of a new political agenda for the right or Khodorkovsky's desire to take up "the banner of freedom" that has fallen
from the hands of liberals. In a word, the general tone of the article is not arrogant with regard to Putin. He recommends the West to accept President Putin as he is.

Why has Khodorkovsky written this article? Cynics will say that he is tired of sitting behind bars, forgotten by everyone, and that he wants out. The idealists will say that he had much time to think and suffer and wants to share the fruit of his painful thoughts, and that he cares for the future of the country. I would say that time will show.

Deputies of the State Duma and Federation Council comment on Mikhail Khodorokovsky's article at the request of RIA Novosti Yuri Sharandin, chairman of the Federation Council's constitutional committee:

The ex-Yukos head has changed his stand and is demonstrating he is ready for dialogue. His article does not call on business to change the rules of the game but the need for changing relations between business and power is palpable. Khodorkovsky clearly states that big business should share with the people, which I view as the businessman's unequivocal agreement with the president.

The article creates the impression that it was written by a new man. Mikhail Khodorkovsky still believes that making money is the main task of business but now he thinks that business can be done in Russia only if Russia survives. It is important that Khodorkovsky decided to make his views public. After reading the article, it becomes clear that serious
changes have taken place in the world outlook of this major businessman.

The article has no relation to the legal case against the ex-Yukos head, yet it can change relations between the authorities and business. If the authorities and business - especially business - seriously study the article, they will find many things to think about.

Valery Draganov, chairman of the State Duma committee for the economic policy, enterprise and tourism:

The new statement by Khodorkovsky is the last nail in the coffin of Russian liberalism, a Frankenstein that had been forced on Russia against its will. The article has embarrassed me, as Khodorkovsky writes in it what I have
been telling my electorate for years, and I spoke about the collapse of liberalism and the Bolshevik methods it had been using long before this article.

I wonder if Khodorkovsky's ideas dawned on him in prison or he had thought about them before? I am sure the latter is true but then, why did he not take a stand sooner? Instead, for a long time he thought the so-called liberals were smarter and had a clearer vision than others and that reforming Russia was their mission.

However, reforms should be tackled carefully and major economic change cannot be effected within months. Thank God we won the approval of the current form of the economic, social and political reforms in 1999, though
it was a bit late after what the bull did in the china shop in the early 1990s.

Dmitry Rogozin, leader of the Rodina faction in the State Duma: The article is an interesting claim to a political life. Judging by it, if Khodorkovsky gets fewer than four years in prison, he will run for the presidency in 2008. The ways towards liberalism offered in the article constitute the ex-oligarch's plan of creating a liberal party of a new type. However, I don't think liberal ideology has a chance to rule. But it can win the hearts of 7-8% of the electorate.

To me, the seven ways suggested by Khodorkovsky are the minefield through which cows have passed, with telltale consequences. But I accept his idea of renouncing the senseless attempts to question the legitimacy of the
president. It was an interesting thing to say, as the March 14 elections showed that there is no real opposition and no alternative to Putin today.