| JRL HOME | SUPPORT | SUBSCRIBE | RESEARCH & ANALYTICAL SUPPLEMENT | |
Old Saint Basil's Cathedral in MoscowJohnson's Russia List title and scenes of Saint Petersburg
Excerpts from the JRL E-Mail Community :: Founded and Edited by David Johnson
#7
Buy Russia's Nuclear Materials 
Brett Wagner 
Seattle Post-Intelligencer 
October 10, 2001 
(for personal use only)

The attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon sent an urgent wakeup call that the United States should take seriously the continuing efforts by terrorist groups to acquire nuclear weapons.

The State Department currently lists more than a dozen rogue states and terrorist organizations, including Osama bin Laden, who are actively seeking them.

Russia's vast and undersecured stockpiles of excess fissile materials represent the most likely potential source of terrorist nuclear capability. According to U.S. intelligence agencies, Russian criminal groups are already supplying bin Laden and his al-Qaida terrorist group with components for nuclear weapons. All that's missing is the nuclear material itself. In the days following the Sept. 11 attacks, Russia's Federal Security Service reportedly thwarted an attempt by one of these criminal groups to sell stolen or diverted nuclear material to an unidentified buyer.

For several years, Russia has been hinting that it would be interested in selling these same nuclear materials to the United States for peaceful uses. Unfortunately, these hints have usually fallen on deaf ears.

Now, thanks to years of hard work and perseverance, we stand at the threshold of just such an agreement -- and the timing couldn't be more critical.

Russia's Cold War-era nuclear stockpiles, which include 700 to 800 tons of highly enriched uranium and 150 to 200 tons of weapon-grade plutonium, pose a growing risk because of serious gaps in Moscow's nuclear security. Many of these scattered stockpiles are stored in makeshift warehouses, protected only by $5 combination locks or the equivalent. Small amounts of these materials have already been confiscated by European law enforcement officials from sellers looking for buyers.

It would take only 15 to 20 pounds of this uranium, or an even smaller amount of plutonium, to level a city the size of downtown Washington or lower Manhattan. Iraq and the terrorist group Islamic Jihad have each reportedly offered Russian workers enormous sums of money for enough nuclear material to produce a single weapon.

The blueprints and non-nuclear components necessary to build crude but highly effective nuclear weapons are readily available -- the only component prohibitively difficult to develop or acquire is the nuclear material.

There is no reliable way of keeping a nuclear weapon or contraband from being smuggled into U.S. territory if it ever does fall into the wrong hands. Fortunately, Moscow appears willing to sell these same materials to the United States, or to a U.S.-led group of international investors, for just a few thousand dollars per pound.

Sen. Pete Domenici, R-N.M., introduced a bill just before the August recess that establishes a framework for how such a transaction might take place. Under the bill's provisions, the U.S. government would guarantee loans to Russia in increments of $20 million, up to $1 billion at any one time, accepting Moscow's fissile materials as collateral. For each $20 million loan, Russia would place 1 metric ton of uranium and 1 metric ton of plutonium under International Atomic Energy Agency safeguards at a secure facility in Russia that is mutually acceptable to both Russia and the IAEA.

As part of the deal, Russia would guarantee that the fissile materials placed under IAEA safeguards would remain there indefinitely, meaning until they are used as nuclear fuel or otherwise permanently disposed. This entire process could be completed within just a few years.

The opportunity has never been greater to resolve the tremendous risk to U.S. and international security posed by Russia's enormous stockpiles of undersecured nuclear materials.

Last but not least, the friendly relationship established between President Bush and Russian President Vladimir Putin during their first face-to-face meetings, combined with their declared intention to hold a summit in November to discuss nuclear arms reduction and missile defense, could help provide the final boost to push this idea through to fruition.

Rep. Lois Capps, D-Calif., is planning to introduce a companion bill in the House in the next few days. Congress should move quickly to consider these two bills, make any necessary revisions and deliver legislation to the president as soon as possible for his signature.

Otherwise, the next "act of war" against the United States might very well turn out to be an act of nuclear war. Back to the Top    Next Section